Oil gains as Russia curbs, key terminal’s halt boost supply risk

Oil pushed higher ahead of high-level meetings that may result in fresh sanctions on Russia, and as a vital Black Sea terminal may be disrupted for weeks following storm damage.

West Texas Intermediate futures topped $112 a barrel. European Union and NATO leaders are set to gather in Brussels on Thursday to beef up their response to the crisis. Ahead of the meetings, White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said that the U.S. and its allies will impose further sanctions on Moscow. 

As the conflict drags on, the EU is weighing a possible ban on Russian crude imports, though members including Germany have opposed such a move. Many buyers though are already shunning the nation’s oil, with TotalEnergies SE saying it will stop purchases by the end of the year, while Japanese refiner Eneos Holdings Inc. will halt new shipments. 

Prices were also pushed higher on Wednesday as a key Kazakh-Russian oil pipeline may be forced to reduce shipments via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s terminal on the Black Sea by as much as 1 million barrels a day due to storm damage. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said the repairs could take up to two months.

“Prices are ticking higher with focus on tomorrow’s EU and NATO meeting, not least considering the potential bullish market impact should the EU decide to embargo oil and fuel products from Russia,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S. The CPC disruption “is the last thing the market needs right now.”

Further bullish signals came from the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute data showing crude inventories sank by 4.3 million barrels last week, according to people familiar with the numbers.

Prices

  • WTI for May delivery rose as much as 2.6 per cent, and was 2.5 per cent higher at $112 a barrel as of 10:56 a.m. London time
  • Brent for the same month increased 2.8 per cent to $118.71

With many buyers avoiding Russian crude, the country’s flagship Urals grade has plunged, while some April-loading shipments were canceled. That’s adding to the signs of increased pressure on the nation’s oil market.

Nevertheless, some Russian flows are still finding takers. India’s refiners have grabbed multiple cargoes of Urals crude this month, while China’s private processors are thought to be targeting favored grades from the east of Russia.

© 2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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